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Alpha / Beta

This analysis splits the strategy's return into two pieces. Beta is how much the strategy moves together with the market — how much it "rides the wave". Alpha is the extra return that the market does not explain: the true edge, the added value over simply buying and holding the same stocks.

Alpha / beta decomposition

How to read it

  • Beta around 1 = moves like the market; low beta = little exposure to the market.
  • Positive alpha = added value beyond the market; negative alpha = worse than the market for the same exposure.

Significance

A positive alpha on its own is not enough: it could be luck. The t-stat tells you whether it is solid. Rule of thumb: t-stat above 2 (p below 0.05) → alpha probably real; below → maybe just noise.

The benchmark comparison

The strategy's return set against the buy & hold of the same universe directly tells you whether trading beat buying and holding.

Cumulative return: strategy vs benchmark

How to read the analysis

A compact recap — beta, alpha and significance — to orient yourself among the numbers.

How to read: beta, alpha and significance

The limits. Beta here is an average: a strategy that enters and exits the market has an exposure that changes, and a single beta flattens it. Alpha depends on the benchmark and the period. And an alpha that is not statistically significant is not edge.

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